See politicians and military observers, Iraqi and American officials said the delay is justified in ending the file to form a government, has increased the complexity of the administration of President Obama organized a small army of diplomats and contractors, to be present in Baghdad, the U.S. military to leave after the end of the year.
And analysts believe the news at the New York Times, that the delay in naming ministers of security stocks slow down negotiations on some critical issues as well as between Baghdad and Washington, such as plans to train Iraqi police, and establish an office in charge of selling military equipment to the Iraqis.
This comes the delay before the final U.S. withdrawal from Iraq the end of the year, in a highly sensitive time for Iraq, despite advice from the Americans and the promises of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s public, end file security ministries, the last two ministerial positions.
Although the leaders pledged to Americans and Iraqis to end the U.S. military presence, but that the date for the end of the year, remains controversial.
According to military analysts and some politicians in both countries, that the completion of the withdrawal could threaten the fragile stability in Iraq, and in the air the price paid by America’s lives, as well as by the billions of dollars spent.
And cause to withdraw, the increasing concerns about the capacity of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to take over critical functions performed by the army now, including the response to rocket attacks on diplomatic headquarters, and reduce tensions in the oil-rich Kirkuk.
Maj. Gen. Edward Cardon, who helps in the coordination efforts in order to close 75 U.S. base remains, and the withdrawal of the last of the soldiers who Aadidhm 50 thousand “It’s a setback.”
He adds, “This is to work with the Iraqis .. sometimes be difficult for them to make a decision, without that there will be coverage of the Supreme sources. They do not know who is the minister, so there was reluctance to enter into agreements, do not know if the new minister will accept or not, as he assumes his duties. They also do not want to throw themselves out, so you have to see this kind of slowdown in this aspect of the work. ”
In addition to the absence of ministers concerned with security details of the security agreement, the general picture in Washington, more troubled, because of uncertainty regarding the amount of money that Congress wants deducted from those dedicated to spending on operations in Iraq.
No one knows whether Iraq will be a request at the last minute, to keep the U.S. military.
The two presidents Obama and Maliki, as well as senior U.S. officials, saying that all U.S. troops out of Iraq will be the end of this year, which is defined by the security agreement signed by countries in 2008.
Did not call for the Iraqi government to now the Convention, especially modified to have a political danger to al-Maliki, who coined the government alliance with the Sadrists, who are opposed to the presence of any U.S. forces in Iraq.
The face of al-Maliki, who succeeded with difficulty in winning a second term as prime minister during the past year, and President Barack Obama, who faces the challenge of re-election as president of the United States in 2012, a political disaster with the bases Mwdina if they agreed to the survival of thousands of American troops in Iraq a day after 31 December. And engaged Obama, the Democratic president, a struggle of the House of Representatives controlled by the Republican majority is keen to further reduce the war budget instead of continuing to fight a war than the situation that prevailed in the past years.
But American officials say that some Iraqi leaders want to re-examine the Convention, to allow for some troops to stay. And some Iraqi officials say privately that their country still needs the United States to continue training Iraqi forces, and to help ensure Iraq’s borders and airspace.
Although American officials can not say for sure on the type of presence, which will be the United States, the first of January 2012, but they have become increasingly convinced that the U.S. military will have a role in Iraq.
According to The New York Times, U.S. officials are looking at a contingency plan, to keep the 10 thousand-strong troops, as well as their development plans are in the termination of any military presence, and as reported by the two people briefed on contingency plans.
One of these individuals say that the U.S. ambassador in Iraq, James Jeffrey, and military commander Gen. Lloyd Austin, Ilthompsan to submit a creative advice on ways that enable the United States to keep troops in Iraq. And the other person said that the legal barriers will be one of the barriers to keep American troops. Both individuals spoke on condition of maintaining confidentiality, so as not to jeopardize the permit, which enjoyed its access to confidential information.
Diplomats say Omirkon in Baghdad, they are working to find the presence of civilians in the south includes the consulates in the region of Kurdistan autonomous, as well as the offices of the Embassy in Kirkuk, in the restive northern city of Mosul. And the expansion of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs will also be invited, to be 17 thousand people, mostly civilian contractors.
In spite of the obstacles caused by the delay in forming the Iraqi government, officials at the State Department insist that they would be willing to withdraw all troops by January next, including the troops in Mosul and Kirkuk. According to a senior diplomats, speaking on condition of confidentiality according to diplomatic dealings, that his country was “on track to be on the right path.”
But Gen. Cardon, says that the plans sub-offices of the embassy has become in the back, because of funding issues. The State Department demanded that additional funding of $ 2.5 billion, to increase their presence. . But the list approved by the House of Representatives, significantly reduced funding of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Gen. Cardon and adds “You do not have the funds to Kirkuk and Mosul, and if there is no such funding, there is no way for the construction of offices of the embassy there, so I say she has become behind us.”
And questioned a number of observers in Washington, in the capacity of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to replace the Army in Iraq, which is still dangerous.
Says Jason Chavez; Republican Rep. Utah, and chairman of the National Security Committee, a committee overseeing the Sub-Council of Representatives, it was “a big question mark, and we hope to be close to 100 percent as possible. But it is clear that they will not be able to accomplish some things,” .
It recognizes a senior adviser to Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, who requested anonymity said the United States suggested quietly to Iraqi officials survival up to 20 thousand troops., “Said a senior adviser to Maliki said the prime minister may agree in the end to the continued existence of U.S. troops inside Iraq, but this requires the adoption of this move by the Iraqi parliament, which has a number of seats its members two-thirds majority of 325 seats.
The margin will be to achieve this almost impossible to vote in the face of Sadrist opposition linked to Iran.
The MP said the Sadrist governor Zamili, who chairs the Security and Defense Committee in Parliament, “We strongly reject any extension of the survival of the U.S. military in Iraq, and I will work personally from the inside in order to turn the occurrence of this command. And lay our problems in the presence of the invaders.”
Yassin al-Mutlaq said Sunni lawmaker in the Iraqi parliament “No one wants foreign forces in his country, but sometimes that’s the situation on the ground last word in such matters. At the present time, no individual can decide the matter.”
And now resides in Iraq, about 47 thousand U.S. troops compared to 166 thousand in October (October) in 2007.
According to the report of the Agency, “Associated Press,” said U.S. military officials and Western diplomats in Baghdad said the number of troops to be studied would remain in Iraq now ranges between several hundreds of working under the leadership of the U.S. Embassy, to tens of thousands of soldiers are likely to gather in the rules is far from conflict zones , where will interact is very limited with Iraqi civilians.